Nate Silver's Twitter Profile Analysis @natesilver538 on Twitter

Following information is based on analysis of 199 tweets, from 13/11/2020 to 24/11/2020.

Nate Silver

 @NateSilver538

Editor-in-Chief, @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (https://t.co/EYTxvN6BLY). Sports/politics/food geek.

33,672 tweets
3,672,512 followers
1,304 favourites
18 tweets per day
2008 since
1,350 following
35,723 listed
New York location

@natesilver538's

Tweets

73 tweets
25 retweets
101 replies
@natesilver538's

Twitter Client

167 Twitter Web App
32 Twitter for Android
@natesilver538's

Tweet Times

@natesilver538's

Tweet Days


@natesilver538's

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@natesilver538's

Mentions

1 - @HelenBranswell
1 - @sciencecohen
1 - @zeynep

Top Tweets by @natesilver538 top tweets by Nate Silver

Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
This is a good read. Small household gatherings have always been a potential source of spread, but they haven't been a point of emphasis until recently. "Wait, now you can't even go over to friends/family's houses?" may be a hard message to sell vs. focusing on risk-reduction. https://t.co/9HWCqyVw1S
24 Nov, 2020 - 10:36 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
This is still the Underwear Gnomes problem. Under what pretext would ACB "thrown out ballots", enough to swing a not-super-duper-close election? To the extent we're talking about mail votes that arrived after Election Day, the impact of that is quite small FWIW. https://t.co/hZc9uzxj8q
24 Nov, 2020 - 06:54 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Which was always an implausible plan that was extremely unlikely to succeed. To the extent that's the scenario people were banking on, it does look like an overreaction. There was never any explanation of the doctrine or pretext that courts would use to stop the count. https://t.co/1siCjfM19Z
24 Nov, 2020 - 06:47 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
It didn't come close to succeeding. But I don't think people should inherently be criticized for having pointed out that a high-impact but low-probability event—Trump stealing the election—deserved attention. ... With that said, there were issues with *some* of these claims.
24 Nov, 2020 - 04:47 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
One thing that's striking here is the extent to which Facebook is maximizing for short-term, measurable gains as opposed to long-term brand equity. A better news feed could result in more trust from readers, more partnerships with news organizations, higher internal morale, etc. https://t.co/4ettG93YVw
24 Nov, 2020 - 03:40 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Lukewarm take: It's fairly hard to infer how people would have behaved if the election were closer. (Close enough that Trump's efforts to overturn the result would stand a chance.) I mean we know how Trump would have behaved, but everyone else—courts, state officials, etc.
23 Nov, 2020 - 11:33 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
If some vaccines are highly effective and some are moderately effective, are there immunological issues with initially giving some people the moderately effective vaccine, and then also the highly effective one once we've made enough? Like, could they interefere with one another?
23 Nov, 2020 - 10:34 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
With a couple of flips from the GOP, you'd think New York State might finally have the votes to legalize marijuana, which fell just short last year. https://t.co/LNoK27wNK7
23 Nov, 2020 - 07:28 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
I'll leave it up to someone with more domain knowledge in biostatistics, but seems like it should be doable to reverse-engineer these numbers on the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine and determine the degree of statistical significance here. https://t.co/zr0RzFy66L https://t.co/lqVAk2SzwM
23 Nov, 2020 - 04:16 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
If Republicans are claiming to have had a House seat in *Baltimore* stolen from them, it also demonstrates the inelasticity of the GOP's election-rigging conspiracy theories toward reality. https://t.co/oephZuI0xj
22 Nov, 2020 - 10:24 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
People are sometimes too quick to describe public figures as "insane" but I wonder if that's literally true in the case of Sidney Powell. https://t.co/ZWf7Q0blmh
22 Nov, 2020 - 05:20 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Still have no idea what's gonna happen in the Georgia runoffs but seeing more conservatives starting to express this concern. https://t.co/Kjk7BCO3iG
22 Nov, 2020 - 05:11 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
It's like an exercise in self-gaslighting. https://t.co/6XfV8zWu7B
22 Nov, 2020 - 02:39 PM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
This from @zeynep is good on some of the messaging challenges around COVID. Everyone was so concerned with trying to debunk the notion that COVID would just "go away" in warmer weather that they downplayed evidence of reasonably strong seasonal effects…https://t.co/lRntupFyBh
22 Nov, 2020 - 01:19 AM UTC
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
TBH it's kind of astonishing you think that I (an econ grad, btw) wouldn't know that. And part of an annoying pattern of academics underestimating the knowledge of non-academics. Matt brought it up recently in the context of COVID and I thought it was appropriate to refer to him. https://t.co/78aCwnWKbl
21 Nov, 2020 - 08:48 PM UTC

Top Retweets by @natesilver538 top retweets by Nate Silver

Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict
BREAKING: Biden/Harris just became the first presidential ticket in history to surpass 80 million votes... Biden 80,033,996 (51.0%) Trump 73,878,907 (47.1%) Prior to 2020, no ticket had ever hit 70 million.
24 Nov, 2020 - 03:40 PM UTC
Matt Glassman
@MattGlassman312
Its not that hard: the election and aftermath has not been as bad as some expected, in part because many things aren’t actually broken, in part because many political actors worked hard, and in part because it actually was pretty bad but we’ve dangerously lowered expectations.
24 Nov, 2020 - 02:48 AM UTC
Manu Raju
@mkraju
#Breaking: GSA’s Emily Murphy signs off and says the transition can begin, per @KristenhCNN https://t.co/S6YKKQBrQR
23 Nov, 2020 - 11:06 PM UTC
Tim Alberta
@TimAlberta
Republican canvasser AARON VAN LANGEVELDE announces he will vote to certify Michigan's election results. It's over, folks. Joe Biden officially wins Michigan.
23 Nov, 2020 - 09:25 PM UTC
Matt Glassman
@MattGlassman312
Imagine being axed for craziness from a legal team that includes Rudy Giuliani! This is like when Guns and Roses booted Steven Adler for drug use. https://t.co/tdsTEQRjEy
22 Nov, 2020 - 10:36 PM UTC
Greg Bluestein
@bluestein
Breaking: Kelly Loeffler is self-isolating after positive, then inconclusive, coronavirus tests #gapol #gasen https://t.co/pI9WuaBmf8
22 Nov, 2020 - 02:49 AM UTC
Matt Grossmann
@MattGrossmann
The persistent idea that Republicans doubled down on Trump populism is not correct. The top issues in final ads were taxes, economy, & health care. Trade & immigration were less emphasized. Rep House margins outperformed Trump & Reps continued using lots of conservative rhetoric.
21 Nov, 2020 - 05:54 PM UTC
Greg Bluestein
@bluestein
Georgia @GovKemp just certified the state’s 16 Democratic presidential electors, saying he was legally bound to make the decision — and that it “paves the way for the Trump campaign to pursue other legal options and a separate recount if they choose.” #gapol https://t.co/UIwuCv1Lu7
20 Nov, 2020 - 10:15 PM UTC
Galen Druke
@galendruke
Will Georgia stay blue? 🎧 New pod w/ @perrybaconjr and @bluestein https://t.co/3sBREcgXlW
19 Nov, 2020 - 08:49 PM UTC
Perry Bacon Jr.
@perrybaconjr
Trump is very savvy at constantly forcing fellow Republicans to choose between 1. doing his bidding and therefore remaining a Republican-in-good-standing in GOP circles or 2. acting according to normal democratic values, but losing Republican-in-good-standing status.
19 Nov, 2020 - 05:29 PM UTC
Derek Lowe
@Dereklowe
A long Q&A post on what we know about the coronavirus vaccines now, and what some of the big issues are: https://t.co/GYXrOO0TmC
18 Nov, 2020 - 04:48 PM UTC
Nathaniel Rakich
@baseballot
New from me and @elena___mejia: After a strong 2020, Republicans will control redistricting of 188 House seats, vs. 47-73 for Democrats. https://t.co/IIC50tEMDW
18 Nov, 2020 - 02:25 PM UTC
Shane Crotty
@profshanecrotty
1/ This is a really good point @NateSilver538 , and I should reiterate it. We saw a lot of variation from person to person. We tried to visualize it this way. Most people had substantial measurable immune memory (any color), but a few people did not (grey or white color) https://t.co/Ffg9eI33OO https://t.co/M1sdE8Da0s
17 Nov, 2020 - 08:53 PM UTC
Shane Crotty
@profshanecrotty
2/ That led us to speculate, "As a result of the immune response heterogeneity...it may be expected that at least a fraction of the SARS-CoV-2-infected population with particularly low immune memory would be susceptible to re-infection relatively quickly." https://t.co/5A8AIiUJmp
17 Nov, 2020 - 08:53 PM UTC