@nikitabier - Twitter Profile Analysis

My favorite part about the state of AI today is that we no longer understand why it does what it does. I am very excited to see what happens when we finally connect it to the internet.

Came to Mexico with 4 people. One by one, every person got food poisoning. I am now the last man standing. So I booked a 10 course meal for tomorrow so they can all watch me eat for 3 hours.

I’m in Puerto Escondido. What are your favorite non-nausea-inducing restaurants?

Unpopular opinion: OpenAI should rename the company to ChatGPT

When Gas was scaling at 300% per day, this was the hardest thing to operationalize. We had to assume all systems would break every few days & have redundancy plans. And everything did: user support, 2FA, databases. The key is having a culture that can triage fires in real-time. https://t.co/ZyJIyLqXVi

This is a first: a startup pitch delivered to my hotel room while on vacation.

There is some strange magnetism that drives socially defective people to build social apps, instead of the people most fit to build them: the socially hyper-aware. This is why so many terrible, anxiety-provoking ideas get built—like meetup apps and video-based dating apps.

Saw this alt rock band in Seattle tonight

Rule #1 of international travel: Do not try to stay together when leaving the plane. If anyone falls behind, leave them. Friends & family are replaceable, a good spot in the customs line is not.

When someone pitches me a great consumer app idea but one of the slides mention a token sale

It’s incredible that all of us on Twitter created and successfully defused a bank run, all in 72 hours.

I’m looking for a furnished short term rental in Manhattan (ideally in Soho or Tribeca) starting April/May—flexible on dates. I’ll give free product growth / shitposting advisory for any leads.

I have heard from a trusted source that the apocalypse is tomorrow.

I moved half of my net worth from cash to money market funds paying 4.8% a few weeks ago. My bank now has a gaping hole for whatever they invested that deposit in. This is a silent run happening across all banks, not just SVB.

Coming up next week 1. Depositors at small banks move to JP Morgan 2. Everyone moves from cash to treasuries & money markets 3. Bank assets are no longer backed by deposits 4. More runs on banks 5. Socialists cheer on demise of small banks 6. Execs at big banks get mega rich

The number of growth stage companies that had their cash at SVB is huge. Making payroll next week is going to be a shitshow.

How did every single major bank think it was a good idea to put all of their customer deposits into long duration bonds yielding 1%?

I’ll be making my annual trip to CDMX next week. Invite me to your things and I’ll do a live reading of my worst tweets.

My friend paid the $250,000 deposit for the new Tesla Roadster on the day of the announcement and is still waiting after 5 years. If he instead invested that in Tesla, it would be worth $1.83 million today.

Thinking about becoming a guy who says “strong opinions, loosely held”

How can I get a passport renewed in 5 days?

“Yeah so I’m rebranding from futurist to guy who spends all day tweeting about Jan 6 and mocking people with disabilities.”

Every seed deal I did where the founder got drunk on fundraising and then raised a massive round from Tier-1 VCs and marked me up 5x is now zero Every seed deal I did where the founder quietly took my money, obsessed about the user, and iterated for 4 years is now a clean 10x

Just reached nirvana.

Love your tweets. Could I buy you coffee to pick your brain?

If you had a time machine, which product would you go back to build, believing that you could out-execute the original founder?

People making less than $150,000 should not have to pay state taxes in NY or CA. There is nothing left after rent.

You’d learn more about consumer product design by spending an afternoon in a casino than you would working at Facebook for a year.

Just add me on Mastodon. It’s easy: @̵̯̦͕̰̟̓̈́͝@̶̧̧̞̤̖͌͊̐̆̕n̶̮̦͍̞̟̿́̒̎̍̂i̴͎̮͘k̶̡͉̖͇̳͒̉̉̇̚͠i̷̡͚̙̺͗̍̊̇͠͠t̶̻̲̝̼̗͌̑̀̀̕ͅā̵͈̟͑̈́̿͘͝ḇ̷̄ī̴̧͕̬̝̕e̷͍̟̬͑̚ṟ̴̡͔͆͑̋̄̽̈́@̸͎̭̮̪́̀̏̔̓7̷̛̥̝̠͆̑͆̈́͛͜2̸̼͛̓̚8̴̢̩͇̪̈́€̶̨͋͒]̷̧̛̎̃͐̔͝£̷̥̀̑̀̎̈́͘ͅ¥̸̦̦͚̝̦̝̽.̶̟̝͙͓͉̊̈̍̆̈́̂ͅc̵̖̼͍̯͒ỏ̷͕̪͖̥̰̐̐̑͑͜m̷̺͎͓̬͂̾̅͝

@Jason I’m just glad we all kept our cool.

A lot of consumer founders who have a hit app will mistake winning the lottery for an ability to win lotteries. Sometimes it's best to take your chips off the table and go home.

A dumb PM will stare at an onboarding funnel for hours, fabricate problems, create months of work for engineers, and ultimately improve conversion by 5%. A smart PM will look at funnel in a minute, make a button bigger, and improve conversion by 20%.

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